Ò áèÐ òðø ÿþ¸òðòùøúð ¸òðòø¸òø÷õ¸úøõ ôðýýûõ ÿðõôûðóðþò ¸òþø ÿþúð÷ðòõûø, ø÷üõðÿþùøõ óþòþòýþ¸òü ø óòõðõýýþ¸òü ýð¸õûõýøÿ òððòøòü ôõýüóø ýð ÿðøþñðõòõýøõ ðð÷ûø÷ýûõ ñûðó ò ñûøöðùøõü ñóôóùõü:
1) Üø÷øóðý¸úøù óýøòõð¸øòõò - øýôõú¸ ýð¸òðþõýøù ÿþòðõñøòõûÿ (University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index);
2) Conference Board - øýôõú¸ óòõðõýýþ¸òø ÿþòðõñøòõûÿ (Consumer Confidence Index);
Öóðýðû ABC News and Money - þÿðþ¸ üýõýøù.
ßþúð÷ðòõûø ¸òðþÿò¸ÿ ýð þ¸ýþòõ ðð÷ûø÷ýûõ þÿðþ¸þò üýõýøù ýð¸õûõýøÿ ÿþ ÿþòþôó ó¸ûþòøù ¸õóþôýÿøýõóþ ôýÿ ø ñûøöðùøõóþ ñóôóùõóþ (þò 6 ôþ 12 üõ¸ÿöõò) - ýð¸úþûüúþ þýø ñûðóþÿðøÿòýû ôûÿ ðõøõýøÿ ôøýðý¸þòûõ ÿðþñûõü, ÿðøþñðõòõýøÿ ÿðõôüõòþò ôûøòõûüýþóþ ÿþûü÷þòðýøÿ, òðóôþó¸òðþù¸òòð ø ò.ô. Ø÷ ÿþûó÷õýýûõ þòòõòþò òøÿð «ûó÷øõ/õóöõË ¸òðþÿò¸ÿ ÿþúð÷ðòõûø ò òøôõ:
1) 100 + % ûó÷øõ - % õóöõ;
2) ûó÷øõ / (ûó÷øõ + õóöõ);
3) ûó÷øõ - õóöõ (4-ýõôõûüýþõ ¸ðõôýõõ).
Þõòðòûòðõüûù øýôõú¸ðüø ÿõðøþô (ø ¸þþòòõò¸òòõýýþ, ÿõðøþôø÷ýþ¸òü ÿóñûøúðöøø) - þò ýõôõûø ôþ üõ¸ÿöð.
Øýôõú¸û ýð¸òðþõýøù ÿþòðõñøòõûõù ÿòûÿþò¸ÿ þÿõðõöðþùøüø øýôøúðòþððüø; üøýøüðûüýûõ ÷ýð÷õýøÿ þýø ÿðøýøüðþò ò ðõöõ¸¸øø, ýõ¸úþûüúþ ñþûüøøõ ò ¸ðõôýõü ÷ýð÷õýøÿ - ò recovery ø üðú¸øüóüû ò expansion. Þýø ø¸ÿûòûòðþò òûøÿýøõ þ÷õýü üýþóøõ ôðúòþðþò, ÿðø÷õü õðððúòõð ¸ðüþóþ ýòþóþ òûøÿýøÿ üõýÿõò¸ÿ: øýþóôð ÿþòðõñøòõûø ñþûüøõ þ÷ðñþ÷õýû øýôûÿöøõù, ÷õü ñõ÷ððñþòøöõù, ÷ðòõü ýòþ ¸þþòýþøõýøõ üõýÿõò¸ÿ ø ò.ô. Úðú þðøõýòøðû ôûÿ òðûþòýûõ ðûýúþò ýòø øýôøúðòþðû ÿðøþñðõòðþò ýðøñþûüøõõ ÷ýð÷õýøõ ò ÿõðøþôû ýðöøþýðûüýûõ úðø÷ø¸þò (ýõôòÿýûõ úðø÷ø¸û, úððõ ôþýôþòþóþ ðûýúð ò 1987 ó., òþùýð ò ßõð¸øô¸úþü ÷ðûøòõ 1991 ó., ÿðõ÷øôõýò¸úøõ òûñþðû ø ò.ô.)
Ýð÷ðûþ Ýð÷ðô Òÿõðõô